Accounting for Climate Change: Uncertainty in Greenhouse Gas by Daniel Lieberman, Matthias Jonas, Zbigniew Nahorski, Sten

By Daniel Lieberman, Matthias Jonas, Zbigniew Nahorski, Sten Nilsson

Uncertainty research is a key element of nationwide greenhouse gases stock analyses. the problems which are raised by means of the authors during this quantity, and the position that uncertainty research performs in lots of in their arguments and/or proposals, spotlight the significance of such efforts. assurance comprises: bottom-up as opposed to top-down emission stock techniques, compliance and verification matters, and the position of uncertainty in emissions buying and selling schemes.

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2001). Estimates of N2O and CH4 fluxes from agricultural lands in various regions in Europe. Nutrient Cycling in Agroecosystems, 60, 35–47. [29] 450 Water Air Soil Pollut: Focus (2007) 7:443–450 IIASA Interim Report IR-00-021, Laxenburg, Austria: International Institute for Applied Systems Analysis. , Emmanuel, S. ) (2000). Good practice guidance and uncertainty management in national greenhouse gas inventories. Report of the IPCC National Greenhouse Gas Inventories Programme, Institute for Global Environmental Strategies, Kanagawa, Japan.

Unbiased) and consistent manner across parameters, source categories, countries, and inventory reporting years. , subject to bias). Availability of uncertainty estimates Finally, as most countries have not, thus far, undertaken detailed and rigorous uncertainty analyses, reliable estimates of inventory uncertainty are not generally available. An adjustment factor based on country-level uncertainty estimates would require considerable additional resource expenditures for each country that is party to the Kyoto Protocol, as well as considerable resources expended in verifying the estimates internationally.

We start from the premise that any adjustments to inventory estimates should be designed to maintain the environmental integrity of any international compliance system of which the adjustments are a part. In the current context, environmental integrity can be broadly interpreted to mean ensuring that actions-including the estimation process for national emissions inventories, the level of emissions commitments, compliance requirements, and any adjustments made or enforcement actions-tend to further, and not erode, the goals of the United Nations Framework Convention on Climate Change (UNFCCC) and Kyoto Protocol in protecting the environment.

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